THE FREAK'S CALLS
What I'm watching
The current forecast, the models behind it, and where I could be wrong. Updated whenever the atmosphere does something worth talking about — which, unfortunately for my sleep schedule, is often.
Each forecast comes in three parts: the call, the reasoning, and the confidence level. Read all three or just the first line — I'm obsessive, not judgmental.
Upper Midwest · Called at 2026-08-02
Sunday clipper: 4–7" for the northern suburbs
LOCKED INSTATUS: ACTIVEUpdated 2026-08-03 — the atmosphere moved, so did I
Great Lakes · Called at 2026-07-18
The lake band parks over the same three towns for eleven hours
LEANING, NOT LUNGINGHITUpdated 2026-07-20 — the atmosphere moved, so did I
Southern Plains · Called at 2026-06-11
The severe window that never opened
THE MODELS ARE FIGHTINGBUSTUpdated 2026-06-12 — the atmosphere moved, so did I